Saturday, December 19, 2009

5 Facts About Jeremy Hermida

1. Jeremy Hermida's career year in 2007 was a pretty big aberration thus far. That season, he ranked 95th in VORP and 48th in EqA (minimum 300 plate appearances). In the other three years he saw regular playing time (2006, 2008 and 2009), he never ranked higher than 236 in VORP or 156th in EqA (again, minimum 300 PA).

2. Among NL right fielders over the last three years, Hermida is tied for eighth in Fielding Runs +/-.

3. Hermida has been essentially league average throughout his career. His career batting average is .265, compared to the "league batting average" of .268. His on-base percentage is .344, compared to a "league OBP" of .339. His slugging percentage is .425, compared to a "league SLG" of .429. Finally, his career EqA is .268, just slightly over the league average EqA of .260.

4. Though he has only hit 57 career homers, he has homered in 20 different ballparks, including every NL ballpark except Milwaukee. He has even thrown in both Shea Stadium and Citi Field for good measure.

5. Though Hermida has struggled mightily against left-handed pitching, both last year (.189/.289/.311 in 121 PA) and his career in general (.237/.321/.376 in 471 PA), he has been more than serviceable versus right-handed pitching. Last season, his .283 AVG vs. righties ranked 88th, and his .370 OBP ranked 60th (minimum 300 PA), and for his career his OPS against righties is almost 100 points higher than it is against lefties.

Bonus Observation - Hermida's comparables could lead him in a number of directions. Looking at his baseball-reference (similar batters through age 25) and Baseball Prospectus comps, there are players who washed out quickly after age 25, such as Leron Lee and Phil Kokos, players that continued to be role players such as Ed Kirkpatrick and Rick Reichardt, players that went on to be full-time regulars such as Mel Hall and Jose Guillen, and finally players who did better than that, such as Andy Van Slyke, George Kendrick, Dale Murphy and Adrian Gonzalez. But one name that is common to both lists, and should be of interest to Sox fans, is Dwight Evans. Through age 25, Evans hit .261/.337/.438 for a .775 OPS, with 65 homers and 851 total bases in 617 games and 2,212 plate appearances. Hermida, by comparison, has hit .265/.344/.425 for a .769 OPS, with 57 homers and 726 total bases in 516 games and 1,929 plate appearances. Of course, unlike Hermida, Evans also had a Gold Glove under his belt and had hit .292/.393/.542 in the '75 World Series by the time he finished his age 25 season. In any event, it is interesting to see how many different directions his comp list suggests.

Next Up: Curtis Granderson

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