Thursday, January 14, 2010

5 Facts About Bill Hall

Acquired from Seattle by the Red Sox in the Casey Kotchman deal, Bill Hall has been in the Majors full-time since 2004, and debuted in 2002. The Red Sox are his third team, and he has spent most of his career in Milwaukee. Here are the five most interesting facts I could dig up about Hall's statistical resume:

1.
Hall played 100+ games in the field at three different positions in three consecutive seasons - 127 games at shortstop in 2006, 130 games in center field in 2007 and 113 games at third base in 2008. I don't have a good way to look that up, but that has to be pretty rare, especially in modern times (post World War II).

2.
Hall's batting average has declined for four straight seasons since his career high AVG of .291 in 2005, and his on-base and slugging percentages have declined for three straight seasons after he posted career highs in OBP (.345) and SLG (.553) in 2006.

3. Last season, Hall ranked tied for 139th in equivalent base running runs (EQBRR) when you combine his time in Milwaukee and Seattle. It's a solid but not spectacular rank in a season with 846
different player-team combos (as in, some players, such as Hall, are listed twice, as they played on different teams during the season). The bad news is that it was the first season in Hall's eight year career that he finished with a positive EQBRR score at all and also the first time he finished among the top 500 players. Going backwards from 2008 to 2002, he finished with the following ranks: 525, 795 (out of 854), 854 (out of 861), 630, 820 (out of 833), 631 and 558 in his cup of coffee in '02. For his career, Hall has been "worth" -13.6 EQBRR. Or to put it more simply, he has taken more than a win away from his team on the bases during his career.

4. For the past three seasons, Hall has been essentially a replacement player or worse - in all three seasons, he has been within one win of replacement level. In 2007, his WARP1 was .6, in 2008 it was -.1 and last year, cumulatively, it was -.5. Any positive value that Hall has maintained has been in his glove, as his EqA has not crossed the positive side of the league average .260 threshold, and his combined VORP the past three years is -13.1.

5. Hall has had very little success outside of Miller Park. For his career at Miller Park, he has hit .266/.320/.491 (an .811 OPS) in 1,482 plate appearances. Outside of Miller Park, he has hit .236/.299/.396 (a .695 OPS) in 1,586 plate appearances. For those scoring at home, that's an OPS drop off of 116 points for Hall once he leaves the great city of Milwaukee. His line isn't much better in AL parks either: .238/.290/.383 (.674 OPS) in 273 PA. A decidedly smaller sample, but still not very positive.

Next Up: I haven't decided, but I'm leaning towards Boof Bonser. Maybe if the Celtics make an acquisition, I'll go that route...

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